Policy
Published June 4, 2024 at 1:51 pm ET
The race between former President Donald Trump and President Biden is too close in three key battleground states that could determine the outcome of the 2024 election, a new poll released Tuesday shows.
The poll from FAU’s Public Opinion and Political Communication Research Laboratory (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research shows that races in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are all within the 3.5% margin of error.
Biden narrowly won all three states in 2020.
President Biden greets Andrea Dyess and her family during an event at a community center in Racine County, Wisconsin, May 8, 2024. REUTERS
In Biden’s home state of Pennsylvania, the poll shows the president trailing among all voters by 2% (Biden 43%, Trump 45%) and likely voters (Biden 45%, Trump 47%).
The candidates are tied in Michigan with 45% among voters, but Biden leads with 1% among likely voters (Biden 47%, Trump 46%).
In Wisconsin, Biden has a 2% lead among all voters (Biden 40%, Trump 38%), but falls to a loss of 1% among likely voters (Biden 40%, Trump 41%).
Biden won all three states by very narrow margins in 2020: 2.8% in Michigan, 1.2% in Pennsylvania and 0.63% in Wisconsin.
President Biden, walking with first lady Jill Biden, waves as he walks toward Marine One at Gordons Pond State Park near Rehoboth Beach, Delaware, Sunday, June 2, 2024. KeynoteUSA Donald Trump at a rally on May 1, 2024 at Avflight Saginaw in Freeland, Michigan. /Keynote USA/Getty Images An audience member applauds as President Biden speaks during a campaign rally at Girard College on May 29, 2024, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. fake images
“Neither side has a significant advantage in any of the three states right now,” said Dukhong Kim, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton.
But the results are shaken up by the addition of third-party candidates, especially independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who tilts the race toward Biden in all three states when he is on the ballot.
Kennedy puts Biden ahead of Trump in Wisconsin by 38% to 31%, in Pennsylvania by 41% to 39%, and in Michigan by 41% to 39%. The independent wins 13%, 8% and 11%, respectively, in the three states, but his campaign has claimed that his election petition is complete only in Michigan.
The survey was conducted via an online panel between May 30 and 31 in the three battleground states and had a sample size of 797 adults.
https://nypost.com/2024/06/04/us-news/trump-biden-polling-too-close-to-call-in-pennsylvania-michigan-wisconsin/?utm_source=url_sitebuttons&utm_medium=site%20buttons&utm_campaign=site %20buttons
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